Early Warning System of Government Debt Crises
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Optimal design of early warning systems for sovereign debt crises
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Since the economic crisis erupted in 2008, Chinese government has carried out the proactive fiscal policy and moderate looser monetary policy, which has kept down the tendency of declining economic growth. At the same time, Chinese government debt risk problem has emerged. How to manage the risk of local government debt exposure has been a major challenge to local government. This paper carried...
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Sovereign defaultmodels that differ in their treatment of unobservable country, regional and time heterogeneities are systematically compared. The analysis is based on annual data over the 1983–2002 period for 96 developing economies. Inference-based criteria and parameter plausibility overwhelmingly favour more complex models that allow the link between the probability response and the fundame...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2018
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3146762